Prediction-market research · updated September 2026

What are prediction markets, and which venue should you use?

Compare venues by the exact question, resolution source, dispute path, liquidity, access, and jurisdiction. A displayed 70% probability is not useful if you cannot trade, exit, or understand how the contract settles.

Choose your next step

Choose your prediction-market path

The right venue depends on the question, resolution source, access model, and settlement path—not just the displayed probability.

Compare the main venues

Start with the access, rules, resolution, and liquidity tradeoffs.

See this path → 02

Learn the mechanics

Understand event contracts and resolution before reading probabilities.

See this path → 03

Choose the product

Decide whether a prediction market, perp, or option fits the question.

See this path →

Start with the mechanics

Read how prediction markets work before treating a contract price as a forecast. Then use the venue reviews to inspect resolution, access, liquidity, and settlement differences.

What this vertical does not do

It does not give legal advice, promise profitable forecasts, or treat an improvement proposal as a live venue. Availability and rules must be checked on the specific market before use.