Protocol points · scenario calculator
Should you keep farming? Start with your all-in cost per point. We compare it with the most conservative available scenario and keep speculative point math secondary.
Reward decision
Current answer
Needs more evidence
The allocation or conversion input is not official enough to estimate reward value.
Only calculate trading cost if you would use Bulk Exchange / Challenger Series without a reward. Points are not a risk control while the formula, denominator, or allocation remains unknown.
Research snapshot
Do not reuse old deposit-season math. Trading affects Challenger rank; pre-deposit and BulkSOL AURA does not. Season dates, rank thresholds, prizes, and token value remain unconfirmed.
Trading-earned Ranked Aura sets weekly rank; token and prize terms unknown Source: Bulk Challenger Series docs, checked 2026-10-12.
Advanced research math
Only use this section after you have measured your cost. These are gross scenarios, not expected payouts.
| Case | Gross / point | Gross scenario | Assumption |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zero | Not enough official data | — | No TGE, formula exclusion, or access failure. |
| Low | Not enough official data | — | Undocumented 40M denominator; low FDV. |
| Base | Not enough official data | — | Illustrative 40M denominator and $300M FDV. |
| High | Not enough official data | — | Requires mainnet product utility and a bounded denominator. |
First calculate your activity cost using the all-in cost calculator. Then enter that cost per point here. If it is above the conservative case, the practical answer is usually to stop or only continue for product utility—not to increase size chasing a speculative reward.
Scenario math does not prove eligibility, allocation, token launch, liquidity, solvency, or custody safety. Re-check the official source before sizing activity.